WHAT FOREX IS NOT

Forex is not a quick rich scheme.
Forex is not easy even though my blog says so.
Forex is not a place for newbie
Forex is not something you can learn overnight
If you needed the money, dont put it in Forex. Seriously. Go somewhere else.
Forex is a journey, enjoy it.
There is no such thing as holy grail coz there is no perfection in this world. If perfection exist in this world it would be boring. No more room for improvement.
Forex is not rocket science. There is no right or wrong. There is only probability.

BIG PLAYERS SEE ONLY BIG NUMBERS

I am typing this from my pc. It a bit of a mess now, the new house still needs a little work and I am not feeling well lately. Maybe its the change in climate.

This week I am going to talk about numbers only. Forex is after all based on numbers. Example, I have a long position on GBPUSD @ 1.4700 with a profit of 320 pips at the moment and still holding.

What I am going to say is big players only see big number. The do not see the last 2 digit. The last 2 digit is for scalpers. Big players only see the 1st 3 or 4 digit only. So if a bank wants to buy or hedge a currency they will give an instruction to buy at 1.47. Thats it. Simple yet people fails to see it.

So what happens at 1.47? The price will bounce of or hover around it but things arent always what they appear to be. What happen is price will have a range between 1.46 - 1.48. That is almost 200 pips wide range. Imagine what happen to your 50 or 100 pip SL?? Now you know why people lose money even though they have the right direction.

These big players have big money they dont mind to stand few hundreds negative pips coz in the end they will profit big time. What they do is they will have a standing order to trade at certain level. Because the total amount of order, the market cannot fill the order in 1 transaction and so price will hover or bounce of a certain level. This is where double top or bottom appear. Behind it is the action of filling orders by these big players.

Example EJ currently have a top of 1.34 and a bottom of 1.30. Big players are playing the game here. At the moment EJ is climbing and there is a big possibility that it will reach 1.34 again. I have a standing order to buy EJ at 1.30. If it hits there is a very big chance for 400 pips gain. Only time will tell.



Attach is a chart of GBPUSD. If you look carefully, you can see my actual entry point. I will explain the rest of the chart in due time.

TRADING ONLY WITH MOVING AVERAGE

At the moment I am rather busy. Moving to a new place and house. The house still needs a lot of work. As a result, I do not have time to update this blog. Trading is still going on but on a shorter timeframe. Result is consistent now. AudUsd is very kind at the moment with no sudden movement.

In the next few weeks I will show you how to trade using only MA. As usual what works for me may not work for you. This is because some of you may not be able to follow the rules of the game.

RULES OF THE GAME
1. Trade based on your capital and the time that you have. The bigger your capital the longer the TF. The more time you have the longer the TF. Vice versa.

2. Only trade at the direction pointed by the MA pairs. If the MA pairs is showing mixed direction, do not trade. The MA pairs must be pointing at the same direction.

3. If a trade suddenly change direction, do not hesitate to close it at a loss and turn the trade. This is the hardest part where most of you failed. Free your mind or become a loser all your life.

4. Keep in mind, there is no such thing as winning all the time. Just make sure you win a lot more than you lose. In the end your profit will grow along with your confident.

Simple system with simple rules. I like to keep it simple. No point of having the most complex system when simple system can have the same result. With this system you will be out of the market most of the time. This is because you will only be taking the big move and avoiding the small move and market noise.

Last advise. Do not anticipate. Forex is not a game of inteligence eventhough this system at full swing will show you possible turning point. I am having a possible turning point for audusd at 0.7200 but I will not take it coz there will be market swing before the actual turn. Why wast time waiting for the big move when you can actually see when its going to move.

In the mean time, good luck for all of you. I will be back once my pc is online again. At the moment I am posting this on a laptop. I dont like laptop, too small keypad, makes it hard to do speed typing.

ITS NOT THE SYSTEM

After more than 2 years of trading, I can tell you a story about forex system. Forex system is a way to trade to have higher chances of profit. Unfortunately not all forex system works. This is because its not the system that is not working. It is you.

What if I tell you that I have a system that consist of Moving Average only. The system can make profit and will minimize you loses or even give you a chance to break even during hard times.

You would be thirll to test it out only to find out that in the end you are losing money and you say the system is crap. The truth is if one person is making money using the exact same system yet you are losing money. So where do you think the fault is? Is it with the system or is it with yourself?

You can never gain profit in Forex until you figure out what is wrong with you. Most of the time when you are losing money you would blame it on the market, news, system etc but never on yourself. Until you figure out what you did wrong, any system no matter how good will fail in your hands. After you realize what you did wrong, then you can make money, seriously.

When you know what not to do, you can trade without any indicator. I myself is trading using only MA now. Took me a while to understand but once you see it, you no longer depending on any indicator. It is your judgement that counts.

I never know what I would learn the further I go in this world or Forex. Right now I am starting to understand why some traders trade without any indicator. The best indicator is in your brain. You just need to develope it. It will take some time. No hurry.

How To Create Your Own Forex System

Everyone must start from scratch in Forex. Some people may have the advantage in certain way but we are all equal in the land of forex.

In the beginning, most of you will try out different system and indicators. This is the process of learning. Some people may have up to 20 indicators on screen but in the end those indicators will be cut down to maybe just 3-5.

This happen because the human brain is the best processor there is. With experience we will learn the behaviour of forex and reduce the need for indicators. I have a few friends that finally develop their own trading system and they are profitable up till today. How do i know they are in profit? That is because they have been trading forex for more than a year now.

In forex there a lot of indicators available on the internet. In order for you to create your own trading system, you must understand that less is more. The less indicators you use the easier it is to trade. Lets start on how I created my own trade system.

Of all the indicators that you have tested, take the best 5 and list them down from the best to the worst. Load all the indicators on screen. Look at how the interect with each other. The best indicator is your main signal. This where your buy or sell decision comes from. Your 2nd best indicator is your filter. 3rd your target entry or exit. 4th trend indicator.

Personally nowdays i need only 1 indicator if im scalping. The most simple system is the best. In order to do long term trade i need a few indicators since finding the best entry point is a bit tricky. Below are the list of indicators im using. Maybe could give you some ideas:

1. William %R
2. MACD
3. EMA
4. Kijun Sen

Those are my indicators. Only 4 listed from best to worst. Btw William %R is a really good one if you know how to use it. Happy trading

Welcome To The World Of Forex

Foreign Exchange (FOREX) is the arena where a nation's currency is exchanged for that of another. The foreign exchange market is the largest financial market in the world, with the equivalent of over $1.9 trillion changing hands daily; more than three times the aggregate amount of the US Equity and Treasury markets combined. Unlike other financial markets, the Forex market has no physical location and no central exchange. It operates through a global network of banks, corporations and individuals trading one currency for another. The lack of a physical exchange enables the Forex market to operate on a 24-hour basis, spanning from one zone to another in all the major financial centers.

Forex is becoming more and more popular due to its availability over the internet and current high speed internet. Some people have made a living out of forex trading. Its not easy but we all have to start somewhere. Here there will be infomation on forex trading, forex brokers, forex signal, forex chart, technical study and fundamental study of forex and lots more.

There will be other posters, other forex traders that will contribute article here. Come and learn to trade forex. See how easy it is actually to make money and to lose money as well.

The 1970's United States Currency Policy Meltdown

Once again, we are hit with the triumvirate of war, the restrictive gold standard, and dollars in foreign banks.This time, each problem was feeding directly off of the others. The Vietnam Conflict had drained our gold reserves heavily. By 1970, Fort Knox only held US$12 Billion.The growth of the oil business and the increase in foreign trade caused a boom in the demand for US dollars in foreign banks. Over US$ 47 Billion was sitting in overseas banks.On paper, our gold reserves were over-leveraged by almost 4 to 1. As a nation, we did not know how to react to such an overbearing assault on our currency. Then along came the invention of the Eurodollar to make our nightmare worse.Foreign banks with US dollars would make low-interest loans in US dollars to importers and exporters. Although the dollars were never repatriated, the US was still on the hook to exchange these “credit”-created dollars for the gold we kept on reserve.Then came a miracle in disguise . The Bretton Woods Agreement collapsed. In the over-leveraged gold-dollar environment, many countries began to feel frustrated with the artificial peg.In blatant defiance to the agreement in 1971, Germany declared that they would float the Deutsche mark. They were tired of the artificial peg that was keeping their economy depressed.In the first hour of trading, over US$1 billion were exchanged for Deutsche marks. For the first time, the public had voiced their opinion against being so heavily weighted with dollars.With Germany completely ignoring the Bretton Woods Agreement by floating their currency, the US government had nothing left to do but put the final nail in the coffin of the U.S.'s currency policy. The Bretton Woods Agreement was dissolved.Three short months after the Deutsche mark began to float, the US moved off of the gold standard. Gold was allowed to float freely like any other currency. Oil, although priced in US dollars, soon switched to a peg against gold. Gold and oil prices jumped ten-fold.The currency dynamics were soon changed on a global scale and it became accepted practice that countries began to float their own currency.

New Rules of Currency

In 1971, the Smithsonian Agreement replaced the Bretton Woods Agreement and authorized “forward currency contracts”, adding validity to the Eurodollar phenomenon. It didn’t work. A year later the European Joint Float was established. It, and the Smithsonian Agreement, were scrapped in 1973. Even though they were dissolved the concept of “forward currency contracts” stayed as part of the banking system.Once currencies began to “free-float”, they immediately moved away from their gentlemanly 1% fluctuations on either side to huge price ranges, going anywhere from 20-25% daily.From 1970-1973, the total foreign exchange volume went from US$25 Billion to US$100 Billion. With oil prices up, gold prices up, and an economy still reeling from the rapid currency shift, “stagflation”, rising inflation while real incomes remained the same, soon hit the United States.

Today's Currency World

In the 30 years since the collapse of the last gentlemanly agreement on currency rates, many momentous events have occurred that have affected currencies worldwide. The Japanese yen gained prominence because of Japan's heavy export relationship with the United States. The USSR collapsed. We have had several undeclared wars, the south Asian economies have risen and collapsed, and several investor bubbles have come and gone.Each time, currencies have come away with a newly earned respect by the masses. There has also been a constant element of surprise that keeps you guessing what's next.Current conditions, such as the United States' perpetual war on “terror”, the permanent introduction and dominance of the euro currency, the steady O.P.E.C. increases in oil prices, and gold's renaissance as a store of value, will likely have a tremendous impact on the future of what it means to trade currencies.This could be a fundamental shift in the next phase of currency development.

Determinants of FX Rates

The following theories explain the fluctuations in FX rates in a floating exchange rate regime (In a fixed exchange rate regime, FX rates are decided by its government):

(a) International parity conditions viz; purchasing power parity, interest rate parity, Domestic Fisher effect, International Fisher effect. Though to some extent the above theories provide logical explanation for the fluctuations in exchange rates, yet these theories falter as they are based on challengeable assumptions which seldom hold true in the real world.

(b) Balance of payments model. This model, however, focuses largely on tradable goods and services, ignoring the increasing role of global capital flows. It failed to provide any explanation for continuous appreciation of dollar during 1980s and most part of 1990s in face of soaring US current account deficit.

Economic factors

These include: (a)economic policy, disseminated by government agencies and central banks, (b)economic conditions, generally revealed through economic reports, and other economic indicators.

Economic policy comprises government fiscal policy (budget/spending practices) and monetary policy (the means by which a government's central bank influences the supply and "cost" of money, which is reflected by the level of interest rates).

Economic conditions include:

* Government budget deficits or surpluses

* The market usually reacts negatively to widening government budget deficits, and positively to narrowing budget deficits. The impact is reflected in the value of a country's currency.

Balance of trade levels and trends

* The trade flow between countries illustrates the demand for goods and services, which in turn indicates demand for a country's currency to conduct trade. Surpluses and deficits in trade of goods and services reflect the competitiveness of a nation's economy. For example, trade deficits may have a negative impact on a nation's currency.

Web Hosting, Reseller Hosting, and Dedicated Hosting

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Fundamentals of a Good Web Host

Finding a web host is easy, but finding a good one is hard. Really, all you need to do to find one is to Google the words 'web host' and you will be overcome by thousands of hits, from hundreds of different companies who will be offering you their brand of the best web hosting solution out there. What you need to understand is that anyone can offer you this service, but only a select few can have the services and the resources to give you a good web hosting service.

What this article is going to do is to just list down some of the features that you might want to look out for when talking about web hosts that will be able to support your needs and then some. These are just some general guidelines and some of the basics that these hosts must live up to. Depending on the nature of why you need a web host, you might want to look at other more advanced features. One of the things you need to look out for is the digital disk space that will be allotted to you when you sign up with their service. The thing is, one of the main problems that people encounter when getting a good web host is that they do not get enough disk space.

Make sure that you get more than you need when you are signing up with a host, because the whole point of getting a website is to be able to expand at a later date. One of the more common sizes to look out for is above 100 megs, and some may consider in excess of 500 megs depending on the type of website and the sort of volume that you may be expecting. Another thing you need to look out for is the type of bandwidth and the sort of network technology that they are using. 56K is not going to cut it, but you get the idea. Normally a server would at least run something like a T1 or faster connection on multiple ports to support domain names.


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Multiple Domain Hosting - The New Solution to Cut Costs

Multiple domain hosting is the new wave of cost cutting measures by web hosts and web masters these days. This is because of the new rising concerns of many web masters that have a problem cutting costs when dealing with a web host that runs more than a single web site. It is actually quite common to many shared web hosting solutions out there, among other problems experienced by what is considered to be yesterday's solution to hosting many websites.

One of the main alternatives that these webmasters are looking to is multiple domain hosting, and what it is actually using a single account to host multiple websites with their own domain names. This is quite different from the old system where many accounts were being managed by a single web master. When looking at this, the solution of multiple domain hosting is actually quite simple and there are many ways for you to do this. One of the more simpler ways for you to achieve this is to actually redirect all the directories and sub directories of the account into a single domain root. In this method, all you are doing is creating a subdirectory of the root domain, and all new domains will be then set up to actually point to that particular subdirectory.

The uses are the same, all that is being done is some minor name changing. The process is then automated on the end of the user, which means that even if they type in the old domain name, they will be automatically route to the newly created sub domain. While slightly technical in explanation, the process is really quite easy to do and anyone can achieve it. Many web masters are touting this method, especially for those who have more than one networked web site that have similar administrative needs. This means that you will have separate control panels and options for managing these websites, which would be quite tedious.

If you have a website with many domains within the root address, then you might want to consider multiple web hosting as well. There are other methods besides this and one of them is true multi domain hosting, which means that you will get a single domain and subdirectories, but you will receive separate ways to control each of the domains through GUI's and panels. The benefit of this is that there will be plenty of flexibility in customising each and every domain, but of course this is a much more intensive and labour hardy method. The other method that is floating around is called multi domain housing reseller account, a mouthful of a name that allows for you to create customised websites and domains, under a single control panel. It is a really cheap way for you to start up your own web hosting company. So these are some of the alternatives to just plain old domain hosting, and one of them may be the answer to all your problems.



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